Super Bowl LVIII: Kansas City Chiefs vs San Francisco 49ers odds & prediction (February 11)

Emmanuel Ifabiyi
By Emmanuel Ifabiyi

It’s all about history here as the Kansas City Chiefs, in search of back-to-back Super Bowl titles, are up against the San Francisco 49ers, looking to avenge the 2019 Super Bowl loss to the Chiefs. Who will emerge victorious on this historic night? Find out below! 

The San Francisco 49ers are set to play the Kansas City Chiefs in Super Bowl LVIII; it’s their second time facing the pinnacle of an NFL postseason as their 2019 encounter eventually turned into Patrick Mahomes’ maiden Super Bowl triumph. The 49ers secured their spot in the Super Bowl by defeating the Green Bay Packers in the Divisional Round and then prevailing over the Detroit Lions in the NFC Championship game. Meanwhile, the Chiefs embarked on a challenging journey to return to the Super Bowl, starting with a victory at home against Miami during Wildcard Weekend. They followed this up with a notable win over the Bills in Buffalo during the Divisional Round, culminating in a decisive victory against Baltimore in the AFC Championship game.

The match will start at 6:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, 11 February 2024. The game time by GMT is 11:30 p.m. GMT on Sunday, February 11. The match venue is Allegiant Stadium, Nevada, Las Vegas. 

Betting tips and match predictions for the San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs (February 11) game are available in this article. The latest betting odds, key stats, team news and projected starting lineups are previewed below.

San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs (Super Bowl LVIII) latest odds on betting sites 

The San Francisco 49ers’ moneyline odds are priced at 1.83 (-120 American), while the Kansas City Chiefs’ moneyline odds are priced at 2.10 (+110 American). This equals approximate probabilities of 53% against 47%, respectively.

Over/Under:

Over 47.5 points: 1.91 (-110)

Under 47.5 points: 1.93 (-108)

Spread:

San Francisco 49ers -2.0: 1.95 (-105)

Kansas City Chiefs +2.0: 1.91 (-110)

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San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs (Super Bowl LVIII) match preview and statistics

The 49ers make it to the Super Bowl in two games

The San Francisco 49ers made their way to Las Vegas after an impressive 12-5 regular season, securing a bye in the opening round of the NFC playoffs and enjoying home-field advantage throughout the postseason. In the Divisional Round clash, they faced off against the Green Bay Packers and secured a hard-fought 24-21 victory. Notably, the 49ers’ defense showcased its strength in the crucial final minutes, effectively shutting down the Packers’ attempts to drive down the field and either tie or win.

Continuing their playoff journey, the 49ers encountered the upstart Detroit Lions in the NFC Championship game, delivering an electrifying performance that culminated in a thrilling 34-31 win. Despite trailing 24-7 at halftime, the Niners staged a remarkable comeback, scoring 17 unanswered points in just eight minutes during the third quarter. 

The team displayed resilience and determination, led by quarterback Brock Purdy’s stellar performance, which included 267 passing yards, a touchdown, and 48 rushing yards. Additionally, the 49ers’ defense played a pivotal role in the comeback victory, holding the Lions to a mere seven points in the second half and effectively stifling their offensive efforts.

The San Francisco 49ers team news: Cornerback Ambry Thomas is questionable for this game.

The Chiefs found success on the road!

The Chiefs’ arduous path to the Super Bowl under the astute leadership of Andy Reid and the remarkable talent of Patrick Mahomes has been nothing short of a saga. Their journey commenced with a resounding 26-7 triumph over the Dolphins in challenging wintry conditions at home, setting the tone for their postseason aspirations. Despite the adverse weather, Mahomes showcased his prowess, orchestrating the offense with finesse and precision.

Following their convincing victory over the Dolphins, the Chiefs faced their first test on the road in the playoffs, a milestone for Mahomes in his burgeoning career. Undeterred by the unfamiliar territory, Mahomes led his team to a thrilling 27-24 victory against the Bills, a game that hung in the balance until the final moments when a critical missed field goal by the Bills sealed the Chiefs’ fate.

In the AFC Championship showdown against the Ravens, the Chiefs continued their march toward Super Bowl glory with a gritty 17-10 victory in Baltimore. Establishing a commanding 17-7 lead by halftime, the Chiefs’ defense proved stalwart in the face of relentless pressure from the Ravens’ offence. Holding their opponents to just three points in the second half, the Chiefs demonstrated their defensive prowess and unwavering resolve.

The Kansas City Chiefs team news: Defensive end Charles Omenihu is ruled out for this game, while left guard Joe Thuney and running back Derrick McKinnon are listed as questionable.

Kansas City Chiefs vs San Francisco 49ers H2H

The Super Bowl LVIII will mark the second time the Chiefs face up against the 49ers in a championship. The last time they faced off was in 2019 when the Kansas City Chiefs went away with a dub as the game ended 31-20. 

Kansas City Chiefs vs San Francisco 49ers (Super Bowl LVIII) lineups and key players

Kansas City Chiefs projected lineup: 

Quarterback — Patrick Mahomes

Running back — Isiah Pacheco

Wide receiver — Justin Watson, Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Rashee Rice

Tight end — Travis Kelce

Offensive line — Donovan Smith, Joe Thuney, Creed Humphrey, Trey Smith, Jawaan Taylor

Defensive line — Tershawn Wharton, Chris Jones, George Karlaftis, Mike Danna

Linebacker — Nick Bolton, Willie Gay

Cornerback —  L’Jarius Sneed, Joshua Williams, Trent McDuffie

Safety — Justin Reid, Mike Edwards

Kicker — Harrison Butker 

Punter — Tommy Townsend

Patrick Mahomes is the key player to watch out for. Mahomes has not thrown a pick in nine straight postseason games going into this one. This year, Mahomes participated in his first postseason game away from home, leading the Chiefs to victory in both contests. Mahomes, who helped the Chiefs win two Super Bowl titles, will be essential to the team.

San Francisco 49ers projected starting lineup:

Quarterback — Brock Purdy

Running back — Christian McCaffrey

Wide receiver — Brandon Aiyuk, Deebo Samuel

Tight end — George Kittle

Offensive line — Trent Williams, Aaron Banks, Jake Brendel, Jon Feliciano, Colton McKivitz

Defensive line —  Javon Hargrave, Arik Armstead, Nick Bosa, Chase Young

Linebacker — Fred Warner, Dre Greenlaw

Cornerback — Charvarius Ward, Ambry Thomas, Deommodore Lenoir

Safety — Ji’Ayir Brown, Tashaun Gipson Sr. 

Kicker — Jake Moody

Punter — Mitch Wishnowsky

Brock Purdy is the key player to watch out for. Since assuming the position as the team’s starting quarterback, Purdy has only led the team in victories. He has led the 49ers to a 7-3 record this season versus postseason teams. In the postseason, the squad has averaged 29 points per game under his leadership. 

San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs (Super Bowl LVIII) predictions and betting tips

While Kyle Shanahan lost his lone Super Bowl appearance against the same Chiefs, Andy Reid is currently 2-2 as a head coach. The Niners finished the season 7-3 versus playoff teams, including this year’s playoffs, while the Chiefs concluded the season 4-4 against teams that made the playoffs, just 1-4 during the regular season.

Over the past several postseason seasons, Mahomes has changed as a quarterback, accepting what the opposition offers him and not pressuring passes. It will depend on how much Brock Purdy can adjust because the Chiefs’ defence is strong and will make this game difficult for him. 

The Chiefs have been here before and have the experience advantage over the Niners in this game. Back the Chiefs to win consecutive Super Bowls here.

Predictions for the game are the Chiefs will cover the spread, and the game total will be under 47.5 points.

Betting prediction: Kansas City Chiefs +2.0

Odds: 1.91 (-110 American)

Betting prediction: Under 47.5 points

Odds: 1.93 (-108 American)